Rental Income Can Pay For Retirement Home
By PATRICK BARTAQuestion: My husband and I have purchased a new home. We plan to retire in approximately five or six years to New Hampshire. Would it be wise to purchase a small home in New Hampshire now as a second home in a small college town, while the rates are low?
—Terri Ann
Terri Ann: By all means buy your retirement home now -- if you think you can keep it rented until you move in.
It's hard to predict which way interest rates and home prices are headed in five years. What's certain is that at their current level -- about 6.25% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage -- interest rates are near their lowest levels in decades. If you buy a $200,000 home, you'd be paying $1,230 a month, compared to $1,480 a month if you bought a home at the average interest rate of the 1990s (about 8.1%).
The trick is making sure your cash flow from the second home doesn't turn negative. In other words, you'll want to be reasonably confident you can rent out the house for at least $1,230 a month. (Actually, you'll probably need to fetch a bit more than that, once you factor in the maintenance costs and taxes you'll be paying to own the home.) Assuming you can get that kind of rent, consider the upside: You'll essentially have someone else paying off your mortgage for the first five years, meaning you'll inherit a home with at least a part of the mortgage already paid, and a relatively low interest rate locked in, to boot.
It's a no-brainer.
Buying a second home now will help you hedge against further home-price appreciation. Say home prices keep rising at their historical average of about 4%. In that scenario, the $200,000 home you might buy today will cost about $243,000 in five years. Even though your income likely will have risen by then, giving you added purchasing power, you'll still be saving yourself some money if you buy now, and that's before factoring in any potential added costs from higher interest rates. Plus, if you ultimately decide you don't want the house, you can always sell it in five years and buy another home, with some extra home equity in your pocket to help make the deal.
Here's the downside: If home prices fall, you might wind up paying more for your house than you needed to. But it's far from certain that prices will fall, and even if they do, they could easily run up again by the time you're ready to buy. Also, a lower price could be offset by a higher interest rate.
Of course, much of this is moot if you don't think you can snag a tenant to cover the monthly mortgage payment until you move in. If you fail to get a tenant, or locate one who pays only half the rent, you'll be out a big chunk of money each month just to lock in a low interest rate today. For most people without deep savings accounts, that's an important risk factor to keep in mind.
But if you're fairly certain you can keep the house occupied -- or you're not afraid to dip into savings to make the mortgage payments -- hop on a plane to New Hampshire. Interest rates aren't likely to go much lower.
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